![]() ![]() Election results and race calls are from. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star. Chart showing NYT estimates of final vote margins. I also make a personal choice not to register with a political party, or to vote. Get live election results, maps and the Needle forecast from the New Hampshire primary. I am committed to maintaining the highest level of transparency and The Times has an extensive ethics policy. John Fetterman, who had a stroke days before winning the Democratic nomination in May, has been locked in a bitter contest against Dr. There is a responsibility to accurately and fairly represent the views and attitudes of the electorate in a democratic society, and I take that responsibility very seriously. Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, gives the New York Times/Siena College poll an A+ grade and rates it as the most accurate poll in America. Election Day is tomorrow for the congressional district that sent George Santos to Washington. I’ve won several awards over the years, most recently the Citrin Award for achievements in public opinion research from the Citrin Center at the University of California at Berkeley. Before that, I was a staff writer for The New Republic and a research assistant at The Henry L. More than 200 Republicans who questioned or denied the 2020 election results have won in the midterms so far. I work closely with our election results and election analytics teams to make election night projections and to build our live election night forecast, known as “the needle.” My Background Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. ![]() ![]() We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. I’m also responsible for the methodology of the New York Times/Siena College survey, which I started in 2016. The NYT Needle is live The Times’s election forecast is now running. My writing for The Upshot and my newsletter, The Tilt, is analytical, explanatory, empirical and data-driven. The Republican Senate primary in Pennsylvania may be headed for a recount, which would be triggered if the margin is less than 0.5 percent of the total votes cast. ![]()
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